Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Sheffield United
27.1%
Draw
19.0%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sheffield United
vs
0.85
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).