Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Plymouth
29.9%
Draw
45.9%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Plymouth
vs
1.15
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.0%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).