Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Bodrum FK
28.4%
Draw
49.7%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Bodrum FK
vs
1.55
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).