Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Sociedad
23.4%
Draw
21.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Sociedad
vs
1.03
Girona
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).