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22 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.0%
Las Palmas
27.2%
Draw
35.8%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Las Palmas

vs
1.26

Espanol

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).