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15 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
FC Koln
22.3%
Draw
24.0%
South Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

FC Koln

vs
1.13

South Park

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).