Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Cheltenham
27.3%
Draw
51.2%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Cheltenham
vs
1.34
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).