Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Valencia
25.8%
Draw
27.6%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Valencia
vs
1.13
Elche
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).