Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Aldershot
18.6%
Draw
67.0%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Aldershot
vs
2.50
Barnet
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
1-4
4.9%
0-4
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).