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28 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.7%
Torquay
17.5%
Draw
9.8%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.45

Torquay

vs
0.81

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).