Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.0%
Farense
21.9%
Draw
69.1%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Farense
vs
1.85
Benfica
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-2
16.1%
0-0
10.0%
0-3
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-1
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).