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AHT: 03CSV

06 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Forfar
23.8%
Draw
53.7%
East Kilbride

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Forfar

vs
2.14

East Kilbride

Markets

BTTS67.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
2-3
4.6%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).