Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Palermo
21.5%
Draw
12.5%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Palermo
vs
0.81
Cesena
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).