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DHT: 21CSV

04 Jun 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Mirandes
27.7%
Draw
35.4%
Mallorca

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Mirandes

vs
1.16

Mallorca

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).