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22 Nov 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.9%
Ferrol
22.7%
Draw
66.4%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.52

Ferrol

vs
1.69

Levante

Markets

BTTS32.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.7%
0-2
15.7%
0-0
10.9%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
1-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).