Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Paris FC
24.4%
Draw
21.0%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Paris FC
vs
0.79
Dijon
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).