Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Pisa
27.3%
Draw
29.3%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Pisa
vs
1.24
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).