Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Wolfsburg
24.7%
Draw
31.0%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Wolfsburg
vs
1.43
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).