Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Dortmund
17.5%
Draw
7.5%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Dortmund
vs
0.59
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
2.9%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).