Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Tipton Town
19.4%
Draw
60.5%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Tipton Town
vs
2.20
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).