Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.7%
Paris SG
10.4%
Draw
6.9%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.30
Paris SG
vs
0.92
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.579.2%
Over 3.560.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
4-0
7.3%
4-1
6.7%
1-0
5.0%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).