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AHT: 01CSV

22 Apr 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.3%
Umraniyespor
22.7%
Draw
65.0%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Umraniyespor

vs
2.29

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).