Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Salernitana
32.5%
Draw
44.6%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Salernitana
vs
1.20
Como
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).