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12 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.0%
Sheffield United
21.7%
Draw
65.3%
Crystal Palace

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Sheffield United

vs
2.17

Crystal Palace

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.9%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.0%
1-4
3.9%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).