Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Ajaccio
26.6%
Draw
27.8%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Ajaccio
vs
0.91
Caen
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).