Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Leganes
24.7%
Draw
14.6%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Leganes
vs
0.62
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
13.8%
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).