Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Cittadella
31.3%
Draw
25.9%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cittadella
vs
0.92
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).