Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Metz
21.0%
Draw
53.8%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Metz
vs
1.92
Brest
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).