Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Southampton
32.0%
Draw
33.5%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Southampton
vs
1.14
Leicester
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).