Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Cartagena
26.7%
Draw
44.9%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Cartagena
vs
1.39
Logrones
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).