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28 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Wealdstone
28.3%
Draw
39.5%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Wealdstone

vs
1.39

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).