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DHT: 11CSV

28 Nov 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.0%
Mansfield
15.3%
Draw
12.7%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

2.64

Mansfield

vs
1.03

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
1-0
7.0%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
4-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).