Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Mansfield
23.2%
Draw
23.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Mansfield
vs
1.02
Colchester
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).