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AHT: 01CSV

15 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.0%
Oldham
31.2%
Draw
41.7%
Northampton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Oldham

vs
1.04

Northampton

Markets

BTTS34.0%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.6%
0-0
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).