Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Crotone
28.0%
Draw
23.5%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Crotone
vs
1.00
Bari
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).