Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Darmstadt
22.6%
Draw
21.1%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Darmstadt
vs
1.24
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).