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DHT: 00CSV

23 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Huddersfield
28.1%
Draw
43.8%
Birmingham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Huddersfield

vs
1.46

Birmingham

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).