Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Leganes
31.0%
Draw
26.4%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Leganes
vs
0.84
Alaves
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).