Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Lecce
30.7%
Draw
25.7%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Lecce
vs
0.78
Spezia
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).