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AHT: 11CSV

17 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.3%
Heidenheim
27.8%
Draw
18.9%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Heidenheim

vs
0.83

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).