Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Sarpsborg 08
20.5%
Draw
27.6%
Vålerenga
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.54
Vålerenga
Markets
BTTS69.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).