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19 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.2%
Redbridge
37.0%
Draw
14.9%
Great Wakering Rovers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Redbridge

vs
0.38

Great Wakering Rovers

Markets

BTTS18.6%
Over 0.573.1%
Over 1.537.0%
Over 2.514.3%
Over 3.54.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
26.9%
1-0
25.5%
2-0
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-0
0.8%
2-2
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).