Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Crotone
26.9%
Draw
47.7%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Crotone
vs
1.63
Pisa
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).