Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Maritimo
24.1%
Draw
28.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Maritimo
vs
1.16
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).