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10 Aug 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Montrose
16.9%
Draw
68.1%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Montrose

vs
2.78

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS68.4%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.2%
Over 3.558.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-1
6.5%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-3
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).