Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Lorient
26.4%
Draw
19.5%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Lorient
vs
0.73
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).