Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Torquay
29.9%
Draw
27.2%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Torquay
vs
1.00
Chorley
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).