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DHT: 10CSV

26 Aug 2023 · 15:00

York

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.5%
Dorking
13.9%
Draw
77.6%
York

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Dorking

vs
2.98

York

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.3%
Over 3.555.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
8.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
6.1%
1-1
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-5
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).