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AHT: 10

21 Sept 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.5%
Sirius
21.9%
Draw
20.6%
Degerfors

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Sirius

vs
1.29

Degerfors

Markets

BTTS65.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).