Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.0%
Ajaccio
13.9%
Draw
79.1%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Ajaccio
vs
2.41
Rennes
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.0%
0-1
12.8%
0-3
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
0-4
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
4.8%
1-4
4.0%
0-5
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).